With the start of the Philadelphia Eagles season just a couple days away, it is past time we took at look at the best value props out there for the ‘Birds heading into the 2019 NFL season.
Here’s a look at the player props for all the major Philadelphia Eagles for 2019, available through top online sportsbook PlaySugarHouse, which is legally available to sports bettors in PA.
For these lines, keep in mind that a player will have to play in at least eight games in most cases to qualify the bet, so check the betting conditions prior to a wager.
4050.5 yards passing (Under)
29.5 Touchdown passes (Over)
Wentz has had three seasons in the NFL thus far and has failed to eclipse 4,000 yards in a season. Even Wentz’s MVP pace in 2017 through 13 games was 755 yards short of eclipsing this prop. At the same time, Wentz had 33 touchdowns through 13 games in 2017 and had 21 through 11 games a year ago. It’s expected that if he can get to around 12 games with this elite receiving corps (#1 ranked by Pro Football Focus) there’s no reason to believe he shouldn’t be able to get to 30 touchdowns. I think he falls just shy of 4050 yards, but goes for 34 touchdowns in 15 games, sitting the final game before the playoffs.
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850.5 Receiving yards (Under)
6 Touchdown receptions (Under)
Given the injury history of Alshon, it’s worth noting that when he does play, he’s an elite receiver (top 15 talent), but he’s had more than six touchdowns just once in the past three seasons (6 last year). In the past three seasons, he’s yet to break the 850-yard mark and he’s played in at least 12 games each season. Who’s to believe he’s going to put it together at this stage in his career? Expect him to be more of a decoy, especially in the Red Zone. I anticipate JJ Arcega-Whiteside and their two talented tight ends to challenge him for Red Zone targets. This is more of an indictment on his health issues and inconsistency within the offense.
650.5 Rushing yards (Under)
5.5 Touchdown rushes (Over)
If you’re late to the season prop party, you might miss it, but given the financial commitment to Jordan Howard, I expect Miles Sanders will get a very slow start in this offense and will work his way into a majority timeshare by about Week Four. Given the talent of Sanders and his build, it’s realistic to expect Sanders will assume the primary role by the midway point of the season. If he can get hot from there, he should eclipse the yardage line by season’s end (he will need 54 YPG). I feel safer about the touchdown total since it could be reached in a few games, but he’s really going to have to overcome a lot to get the number of carries required to break the 650.5 yard mark.
875.5 Receiving yards (Over)
6.5 Touchdown receptions (Over)
Zach Ertz might be the most important piece of this offense, aside from Carson Wentz of course. He’s going to be featured in this offense and will often be deployed in two-tight end formations, alongside second-year star, Dallas Goedert. Ertz might benefit from the array of talent on the offense and should get more favorable coverages than most high-end tight ends in the NFL would normally be subjected to. Also, the two-tight end sets are really going to confuse defenses and should also set up the play-action very well.
Ertz has averaged over 15 games played, 8 touchdowns, and nearly 1,000 yards over the past two seasons. His line is a very realistic one but I believe he’s a lock for the yardage if he can get to 14 games and he should get to seven touchdowns, but I wouldn’t expect his ceiling to be much higher, given the plethora of options on offense for the Eagles.
Collin is a former Army Intelligence and Logistics officer who will watch any sport and gamble with anyone willing. He currently resides in Texas and has to deal with Cowboys fans all the time.