The 2020 season is closing in. With no other sports to interfere, it may seem like a long ways out, but DraftKings Sportsbook has already released the win totals for every NFL team. I’ve scoured the league’s rosters and crushed a lot of tape to bring to you my best picks for the 2020 season.
Detroit Lions under 6.5 wins (-105)
The Lions weren’t completely terrible last season. They got off to a decent start, before losing Kerryon Johnson to a season-ending injury and Matt Stafford to a back injury that kept him out for the remainder of the season. Their roster has some holes, but they looked pretty good, at times, aside from quarterback and running back.
The Lions made a move to draft Jeff Okudah third overall, and then followed that up with another dynamic back (D’Andre Swift) to split time with Kerryon Johnson. I like the moves, but I think this team is still going to struggle. They only managed three wins a year back and I’m not sure the moves they made were enough to get this team to seven wins. I like the under here.
Cincinnati Bengals over 5.5 wins (-117)
The Bengals actually had a lead in the second half of ten games last season, but only managed to finish 2-14. I think Joe Burrow will be a nice upgrade at the quarterback position, and Tee Higgins provides even more potency to an already solid receiving corps. Last season’s top pick, Jonah Williams, should also be healthy this season, so the offensive line should be much stronger overall.
The Bengals had a rookie head coach a season ago and have upgraded their roster across the board. I think they’re in a tough division, but they have a favorable schedule outside the division and enough talent to make waves this year. I like the Bengals to win seven games and give a few really good teams a rough time.
Jacksonville Jaguars under 5.5 wins (-175)
Yannick Ngakoue is feuding with the Owner’s son. Jalen Ramsey forced his way out a year ago. Gardner Mishew showed some promise last season, but ultimately wasn’t great. Leonard Fournette has been rumored to be on the trade block. I thought the Jags’ organization would be a little less messy in April, but it appears they have surprised me yet again.
For a team who was so close to a Super Bowl berth just a few seasons ago, the Jags have completely broken down since then. The Jags went heavy on defense in the draft, but their problems go much deeper than one side of the ball. With Gardner Minshew as the quarterback, this team’s ceiling isn’t especially high.
Unfortunately for the Jags, their floor isn’t high either. They’re in a tough division and still have a number of issues to sort before the season begins. I can’t imagine a team with this much turmoil gets a lot accomplished this season. I like the Jags to win only four or five games this year.
Indianapolis Colts over 9 wins (-112)
The Colts are the biggest offseason winners in the AFC. They acquired a great defensive end in Deforest Buckner via trade with the 49ers. They also signed Philip Rivers as their quarterback, reuniting him with his former offensive coordinator from the Chargers and current Colts head coach, Frank Reich. The Colts also went out and drafted a stud running back (Jonathan Taylor) and a big-bodied receiver (Michael Pittman Jr) in the second round of the draft.
The Colts are making a push for the division title and both Taylor and Pittman could potentially carve out productive roles in year one. With the Texans taking a step back, the Titans not moving, and the Jags starting a rebuild, the time is now for the Colts and I’m certainly buying-in on the hype.
Frank Reich appears to be the best coach in the division, and the roster appears to be even stronger than the one that won the Wildcard two seasons ago.