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Can The Philadelphia Eagles Cover A -4 Spread During Week 10?

The Eagles are firmly in the lead atop the NFC East (1.5 games). Ok, it’s really not that firm, but this division is just so bad.

Before the bye, the Eagles had to overcome a very rocky performance from Carson Wentz to pull ahead in the second half.

The great part was, our prediction ended up being a nice double victory with the spread and under. However, the means by which the Eagles got there was ridiculous. After dropping three easy interceptions, the Eagles got a late sack-fumble recovery for a long touchdown. It was a silly play, but it was long overdue in the game.

Travis Fulgham continued to look impressive, reeling in a nice touchdown during the victory. With Miles Sanders slated to return this week, it’s going to be nice for the offense not relying so heavily on Carson Wentz throwing the ball downfield so much.

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On track for a division title?

The Eagles’ prospects for winning the division improved over the bye week. With Washington losing to New York and Dallas losing to Pittsburgh, all three of the Eagles’ divisional rivals are tied with two wins.

It was a best-case scenario for the Eagles, but we shouldn’t rule anyone out yet as a threat to win the division. For one, the Cowboys almost beat the NFL’s best team (by record). The Cowboys were down an additional offensive lineman, but managed to keep Garrett Gilbert clean against the league’s top pass rush.

Gilbert actually looked good back there, too. Washington is among the best pass rush teams in the league, and the Giants have lost five games by one score or less. This division race is by no means over, so temper your expectations and understand the Eagles’ opponents aren’t just going to roll over and let Philadelphia walk away with the division.

Week 10 Preview

This week, the Philadelphia Eagles are -4 favorites against the New York Giants with a 44.5 total through the DraftKings PA Online Sportsbook. What side should you bet this week?

The Eagles have a huge game this weekend against the “These guys don’t really look too bad all the sudden” New York Giants. The Giants are 2-2 over their last four games. In those two losses to the Buccaneers and Eagles, the Giants have lost by a combined three points. On the season, the Giants are 6-3 ATS.

The Giants have only allowed more than 25 points just twice this season, so we can expect this game to be similar to Week 7’s matchup on Thursday night. Even with Goedert, Reagor, and Miles Sanders back, the Eagles’ success hinges on Carson Wentz.

He’s been very up and down all season, so I wouldn’t anticipate a big outing from Wentz this week, simply because he had a good game the last time these two played.

Offensively, the Eagles will be rolling out Reagor, Sanders, and Goedert for the first time all season. In a way, this is a big advantage for the Eagles, as they haven’t had to show their cards to this point in the season.

Reagor looked good in his first game. Fulgham has yet to have a bad week and is rated as the sixth-best receiver in the NFL by PFF grade. Goedert and Sanders have both had big weeks this season, so the combination of all these guys being used at the same time will be very revealing as to who the Eagles actually are as a team.

Defensively, the Eagles still struggle to stop the run (24th in the league in rushing yards given up per game). Their passing defense is much better (4th), and their total points allowed per game ranks 18th in the league. Keying-in on the Giants is going to be difficult, as it’s much harder to prepare for an opponent when that opponent has a quarterback who can make plays with his feet.

Week 10 Prediction

Despite the Giants being undervalued by bettors all season, I like the situation the Eagles are in with this game. With three key players returning to action who missed the last meeting, the Giants are going to have to come into this game preparing for it much differently than they did the last time. I think that will ultimately give the Eagles the edge here.

I also like how the Eagles are coming off a bye. The extra time should help the Eagles prepare a better offensive gameplan for this one. For the Giants, I expect their offensive gameplan to revolve around establishing their run. In their last meeting, the Giants were able to run the ball for 160 total yards, with running backs totaling 65 yards on 16 carries (4.1 YPC).

Though I don’t expect Jones to rip off another 80-yard run, it’s clear Jones isn’t currently capable of carving up the Eagles pass defense behind this offensive line. Expect some quick screens, creative runs, and a lot of play-action from the Giants.

I anticipate the game to be very close throughout. I think the Eagles will take a few drives to get things rolling, but their defense will keep them within range at the half. When the second half starts, I expect the Eagles to get into more of a rhythm and pull ahead in the late third quarter.

The Eagles blitz will be key down the stretch as this game should come down to Daniel Jones making clutch throws late. I think the Eagles will come up big down the stretch and put themselves one step closer to the division title.

Final Score: Eagles 23 Giants 20

Take the Giants and the under, just barely.

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